Andrew Tate and Tristan Tate have new updates on their legal case and their assets worth 15 million

Endrick has revealed that Vinicius Junior gave him the 'strength' to sign for Real Madrid despite interest from elsewhere.

During a podcast, Le'Veon Bell stated that he can beat both Logan and Jake Paul in a boxing match

Markets will want to breathe a sigh of relief if lawmakers can reach a deal on the debt ceiling to avoid a default. But markets can't always get what they want.

It was the usual ending for Sevilla in an unusual season for the Spanish soccer club

New court filings in a defamation lawsuit against Rudy Giuliani show the promoters of the election fraud narrative after Donald Trump lost the presidency failed to do basic vetting of the claims they were touting -- and didn't see such vetting as necessary.

Nokia Oyj plans to cut as many as 14,000 jobs, or 16% of its workforce, as reduced investment

FC Barcelona have been charged with "active bribery" by the Investigative Court No. 1 of Barcelona as part of the Negreira case.

SANTIAGO, Chile--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jun 5, 2023--

Sangamo Therapeutics Inc.’s cost cuts didn’t hurt just the roughly 162 US workers who lost their jobs this

In 2020, philosopher Toby Ord published The Precipice, a book on the risk of human extinction. The chances of "existential catastrophe" for humanity in the next century according to Ord? One in six. It was a shocking number that alarmed many. After years of being flooded with warnings over climate change, rogue AI, nuclear weapons and pandemics, it's hard to disagree that humans face worrying chances. In his book, Ord discusses a number of potential extinction events, some of which can be examined through history. His research involved looking at the number of space rocks that have hit the moon over its history to figure out the likelihood than an extinction-sized asteroid hitting Earth. This was, in fact, looked at in 2022 by French scientists Jean-Marc Salotti, he calculated the odds of an extinction-level hit in the next century to be roughly one in 300 million. By contrast, Ord estimated the risk to be one in a million, although he does point out a considerable degree of uncertainty. Probabilities can be hard to understand in this context. Traditional probability, for example, relies on observations and a collection of repeated events, but human extinction would be a one-off. But there is another way to think if, called Bayesianism, after the English statistician Thomas Bayes. It sees probabilities as a ranking system of sorts. Specific number predictions shouldn't be taken so literally, but rather compared to other probabilities to understand the likelihood of each outcome. Ord's book contains a table of potential causes of extinctions, accompanied by his personal estimates of their probability. From a Bayesian perspective, we can view these as relative ranks. Ord thinks extinction from an asteroid strike (one in a million) is much less likely than extinction from climate change (one in a thousand). However, even using Bayesianism traditionally requires the incorporation of observational evidence. So, what do we make of Ord's "one in six"? Well it's better to take it less literally but to think of it as a warning, to jump start action on issues such as climate change to hopefully reduce the risk of human extinction in the next century. Sign up to our free Indy100 weekly newsletter Have your say in our news democracy. Click the upvote icon at the top of the page to help raise this article through the indy100 rankings.

Taylor Hawkins died while touring with the band in Colombia, leaving a tremendous loss to the band and the music world