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European Stocks Drop Anew on Interest Rate, China Worries

2023-08-18 20:28
European stocks fell on Friday to their lowest level in more than five weeks, as concerns over higher
European Stocks Drop Anew on Interest Rate, China Worries

European stocks fell on Friday to their lowest level in more than five weeks, as concerns over higher interest rates and a slowing Chinese economy further sapped this year’s rally.

The Stoxx 600 Index was down 1% by 1:09 p.m. in London, extending a drop into a fourth session as miners, retailers and real estate stocks fell, with almost every sector bar utilities in negative territory. Volatility ticked higher, with the the VIX Index hitting its highest level since May.

While the losses were broad-based, among individual stocks, Dino Polska SA dropped after the Polish supermarket operator’s earnings missed expectations. Swiss semiconductor device maker u-blox Holding AG plunged after cutting its full-year guidance.

Adyen NV, whose shares plunged 39% yesterday after the payments company posted its slowest revenue growth since its initial public offering, resumed losses on Friday as analysts cut their ratings or price targets on the stock.

Investor concerns over interest rates remaining higher for longer, rising bond yields and a crisis in China’s property sector have seen gains for European stocks cool in August. The Stoxx 600 Index is down 4.8% in August, with the month’s biggest laggards including basic resources, autos and industrials — sectors which are both particularly sensitive to the economic cycle and have significant exposure to China.

This month’s weakness in equity markets is entrenching strategists in their view that gains are done for the year. They see the Stoxx Europe 600 at 453 points by year-end, according to the average of 15 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey, just a touch below last Wednesday’s close.

The pessimism was echoed by UBS Group AG strategists, who said in a note that they expect the Stoxx 600 to fall 10% by year-end, a move which would require some large caps to fall further.

Recent minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest July policy meeting showed that the risk of higher inflation could warrant further tightening. With earnings season coming to an end, investors are weighing whether the mounting risks will be too much to revive the momentum in equities.

“The earnings season has been luckluster showing that European equities are facing profitability pressures as recession concerns mount and activity slows,” Aneeka Gupta, director macroeconomic research at Wisdomtree, said.

SECTORS IN FOCUS:

  • European chip-tool makers after Applied Materials, the largest US maker of chipmaking machinery, gave a bullish forecast for the current quarter, indicating that an industry slump may be fading.
  • Retailers after UK retail sales fell more than expected in July after a spell of cool and rainy weather kept people out of shops.

For more on equity markets:

  • For Strategists, the 2023 Rally Is Definitely Over: Taking Stock
  • M&A Watch Europe: Suse, EQT, Intesa, GAM, Spie, Arm, Novartis
  • New York’s SPAC Boom Ends in a Crash for UK Companies: ECM Watch
  • US Stock Futures Fall; Farfetch, Keysight Fall
  • BAE Buys a $5.6 Billion Aerospace Business: The London Rush

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--With assistance from Michael Msika.