The Dallas Wings and Las Vegas Aces meet in Commissioner's Cup action on Wednesday night.
The best team in the league and defending champion Aces' are blowing through the competition this season at 15-1. The team will look to keep on rolling against a middling Wings team that is 8-8 on the year, but has struggled on the road.
Will the Aces' win and cover a double digit spread again?
Here are the odds and our best bet:
Wings vs. Aces odds, spread and total
Wings vs. Aces prediction and pick
The Aces numbers are video game-like. The team is tops in offensive and defensive rating and are +19.5 in terms of net rating. For reference, the Liberty are second in net rating at +8.3.
I doubt the Aces find trouble against the Wings, who are 2-6 straight up on the road and 2-5-1 against the spread (ATS). Dallas struggles to shoot from the perimeter, last in the WNBA in effective field goal percentage, and the team checks in as a middle of the pack defensive team.
The Aces ability to score both inside and out with ease is going to open this game up. The reason why I'm staying off the spread is to avoid a garbage time cover from the Wings.
Instead, I'll eye the over.
The Wings are second in the WNBA in pace while the Aces are right behind in third. Both teams' ability to play fast will generate plenty of possessions for Las Vegas to flirt with 100 points while Dallas will hang around the 80's.
I can't trust Dallas' poor shooting to keep it close, but the sheer amount of possessions leads me to the over.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
