The Dallas Wings are half a game ahead of the Los Angeles Sparks in the Western Conference heading into their matchup on Wednesday night in Dallas.
This is the fifth home game of the season for the Wings, where they are a perfect 4-0 in 2023. The team has dropped four in a row on the road, so being back in Dallas is certainly a welcome sign for this matchup.
Arike Ogunbowale (22.7 points per game), Satou Sabally (21.7 points per game) and Natasha Howard (16.3 points per game) lead a three-headed attack on offense that has posted the No. 3 offensive rating in the WNBA this season.
The Sparks are down three key players in this game in Chiney Ogwumike, Layshia Clarendon and Katie Lou Samuelson. Does that give the Wings a big enough advantage to win and cover at home?
Here are the odds for this game and my best bet:
Sparks vs. Wings odds, spread and total
Sparks vs. Wings prediction and pick
In Dallas' four home games, it has covered the 4.5-point spread set in this matchup every time. The team has wins by seven, five, five and 13 points at home in 2023.
This is a dream matchup because of how poorly the Sparks have played on the road (1-3), and the team is down three of its top seven leading scorers.
The key for Dallas will be the team's efficiency, as Ogunbowale (37.6 percent from the field) has needed to take a lot of shots to get hers this season
Not only that, but the Wings are dead last in the league in 3-point percentage in 2023. The team has instead thrived on pushing the pace (No. 1 in the WNBA) to win games.
I question if the Sparks will be able to hang around offensively on the road with so many key rotation pieces out. I'll lay the points with Dallas at home.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
