Oil dropped on regional media reports that ignited speculation the US and Iran are nearing a deal that would pave the way for more Iranian crude exports. US officials denied the reports.
West Texas Intermediate fell as much as 4.8% before paring losses and settling near $71 a barrel. Regional media including Israel’s Haaretz said Iran and the US have made progress in talks over the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. State Department spokesman Vedant Patel said the report is false. “Any reports of an interim deal are false.” Iranian officials have declined to comment.
The “knee-jerk move lower” was likely an over reaction,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth. “However, the price action demonstrates just how quickly crude can turn lower while it struggles to move higher even when there are positive developments,” she added.
Formerly OPEC’s No. 2 producer, Iran could restore about 1 million barrels of daily crude production within months of a deal, traders and analysts said last year before talks broke down. It could be back to full capacity of about 3.7 million barrels a day by next year.
Read More: How an Iran Nuclear Deal Could Affect Oil, Trade and Security
Oil is down 10% this year as China’s sluggish economic recovery, interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and robust Russian crude flows weigh on prices. In an attempt to rally prices, Saudi Arabia’s pledged to cut over 1 million barrels a day on top of cuts made by the cartel earlier this year.
--With assistance from Iain Marlow and Sylvia Westall.
